朱永光 A hybrid assessment model for mineral resource availability potentials

我校英国威廉希尔公司朱永光老师在T1级别期刊——《Resources Policy》上发表题为“A hybrid assessment model for mineral resource availability potentials.”。论文第一作者朱永光为英国威廉希尔公司特任副教授。

Abstract /摘要：

Traditional mineral resource availability assessment methods always have strong assumptions and limitations on application. Both the physical mechanism of the Hubbert model and the economic mechanism of the Hotelling model can evaluate only specific dimensions of the availability of mineral resources. Therefore, we propose a hybrid model that could explain mineral resource availability from geological factors to the metal market. In this model, mineral resource availability will be assessed by two indicators in a coordinate system. One is the marginal effect of mining technology, which is calculated by the Cobb-Douglas production function. Another is the price elasticity ratio of reserve and production. Meanwhile, we apply this model to assess 13 kinds of strategic minerals in China. Among them, the availability potential of gold, tin and lead is large in the future, while that of iron, aluminum and copper is relatively small. In addition, zirconium, chromium, lithium, cobalt, tungsten and nickel are technology-based strategic minerals, while molybdenum is a market-oriented strategic mineral. Moreover, we put forward the classified management policy based on

论文信息;

Title/题目:

A hybrid assessment model for mineral resource availability potentials

Authors/作者:

Zhu Yongguang;Xu Deyi;Ali Saleem H.;Cheng Jinhua

Key Words /关键词：

Mineral resource availability;Mining technology;Geological constraint;Price elasticity

Indexed by /核心评价：

SSCI;Scopus;EI;WAJCI;INSPEC;

DOI：10.1016/J.RESOURPOL.2021.102283

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